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ISHS Acta Horticulturae 1276: XXX International Horticultural Congress IHC2018: International Symposium on Viticulture: Primary Production and Processing

Forecasting and evaluation for raisin production in Turkey

Authors:   H. Uysal, S. Karabat
Keywords:   raisin, estimation, double exponential smoothing, production, sultana seedless, grape
DOI:   10.17660/ActaHortic.2020.1276.31
Abstract:
Turkey is the leading producer and exporter, accounting for 25% of the world's total raisin production and 40-45% of total raisin exports. The main objective of the study is to forecast of raisin production in Turkey. A time series modeling approach (Double Exponential Smoothing) was used to forecast raisin production in Turkey. The forecasts for the production of raisin in Turkey have been made for the next seven years using by annual data on 1982-2016 years in this study. The analysis of data showed that Turkey's raisin production is increasing trend. The forecast results have shown that the raisin production in Turkey will be around 299860 t in 2017.

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