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ISHS Acta Horticulturae 674: III International Symposium on Applications of Modelling as an Innovative Technology in the Agri-Food Chain; MODEL-IT

STATISTICAL MODELLING OF COLD-SMOKED SALMON TEMPERATURE PROFILES FOR RISK ASSESSMENT OF LISTERIA MONOCYTOGENES

Authors:   A.L. Afchain, E. Derens, J. Guilpart, M. Cornu
Keywords:   cold chain, chilled food product, temperature profile, Listeria monocytogenes, predictive microbiology, exponential distribution, normal distribution, gamma distribution
Abstract:
In predictive microbiology, the bacterial growth is expressed as a function of pH, water activity and temperature. The temperature is usually assumed to be constant. Nevertheless, in the cold chain, temperature fluctuations are observed. This paper proposes a statistical modelling for the temperature evolution of a cold-smoked salmon, in the framework of a risk assessment of L. monocytogenes.

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