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ISHS Acta Horticulturae 584: VI International Symposium on Computer Modelling in Fruit Research and Orchard Management

MODELING OF CODLING MOTH POPULATIONS AT VARIOUS CLIMATIC ZONES IN ARMENIA

Authors:   A. Azizyan, S. Gasparyan, A. Akopyan, A. Ter-Hovhannesyan
Keywords:   codling moth, phenology, eco-biology, modeling, forecast
Abstract:
Codling moth (Cydia pomonella (L.) {Lepidoptera: Torticidae}) is a cosmopolitan insect pest of deciduous fruits. The damage caused by the pest is dependent upon geographical and climatic conditions of an area. Prediction of insect development and the modeling of its populations at distinct climatic zones are of great importance for choosing the means and terms of control and managing control measures. We have been analyzing the eco-biology of codling moth at three climatic zones in Armenia (plain, foothill, and mountainous zones). The results of the studies and the meteorological data (the air temperatures) of these areas were used to develop a computer database and program for automated analysis and prediction of the dynamics of diverse codling moth populations. The results indicate that codling moth populations occupying different zones have different ecological requirements for development. The computer prognostic program allows one to model pest populations and predict their behavior and development rate according to current climatic trends.

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