ISHS Acta Horticulturae 276: II International Symposium on Computer Modelling in Fruit Research and Orchard Management
MOPIS: A STRATEGIC PLANNING MODEL FOR FRUIT FARM |
| Authors: | P. Caggiati, V. Gallerani, G. Zanni |
| Abstract:
MOPIS (Strategic Planning Model) is designed for medium- and long-term planning in fruit farms. It is a decision support system (DSS) geared to help growers in defining more intelligently and accurately management, economic and financial strategies. Based on the principle of simulation, it relies on the feedback mechanism, i.e. decisions are made in relation to the expected results predicated on those decisions. MOPIS forecasts the consequences of selected options thereby enabling via trial and error runs a satisfactory response to a given set of conditions. It has all the DSS features: analytical comprehensiveness, flexibility of use and the capability of performing sensitivity analysis by changing the variables with the highest uncertainty levels. MOPIS is essentially a budget model the potential capability of which has been enormously upgraded through computerization by its links to a data bank containing standard management and economic information. It is structured to determine the farm resources available at the initial planning stage as well as the management, economic, financial and marketing decisions. The consequent results are subjected to feasibility evaluation based on available resources and economic benefit and the decisions can then be modified until satisfactory results are attained. When the grower deems that a sufficient number of strategies has been weighed, the most viable plans are compared so as to choose the one most responsive to the specific goals. | |
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