ISHS Acta Horticulturae 155: VIII Symposium on Horticultural Economics
EFFECT OF EEC-ENLARGEMENT ON SELECTED FRUIT MARKETS |
| Authors: | H.-Chr. Behr, R.v. Alvensleben |
| Abstract:
The study covers the markets for sweet oranges, tangerines and fresh apricots and is carried out in two steps: In the first step, status-quo-projections of seasonal supply, demand and prices to 1990 are conducted; in the second step, the quantitative effect of EEC-enlargement on quantities and prices is calculated in a comparative-static model. Calculated price changes due to EEC-enlargement are in general less pronounced than those resulting from status-quo-projections. In all producing countries except Spain, the projected negative trend of real prices will be aggravated only slightly (- 2 %), price decrease will be stronger in the early season. In Spain calculated price increase after joining the common market will be higher in the middle and at the end of the season (+ 10 % for citrus and + 20 % for apricots). Spain will be in the position to increase its market share at the expense of growers inside and outside the EEC. | |
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